Pre-tourney Rankings
Sam Houston St.
Southland
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#172
Pace66.1#247
Improvement+4.0#36

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#139
First Shot+3.4#79
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#323
Layup/Dunks-2.8#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#81
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#13
Freethrows-2.0#308
Improvement+5.8#6

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#237
First Shot-3.1#267
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#77
Layups/Dunks+2.7#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#264
Freethrows-3.5#346
Improvement-1.8#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 20.0 - 3.00.0 - 5.0
Quad 32.0 - 4.02.0 - 9.0
Quad 416.0 - 2.018.0 - 11.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 144   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-76 30%     0 - 1 -2.6 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 14, 2018 29   @ Clemson L 59-74 7%     0 - 2 +0.5 +3.9 -5.2
  Nov 16, 2018 115   @ Georgia L 64-75 23%     0 - 3 -4.3 -0.9 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2018 328   Jackson St. W 75-60 84%     1 - 3 +3.5 -3.0 +5.7
  Nov 20, 2018 89   @ East Tennessee St. L 63-77 19%     1 - 4 -5.6 +2.3 -9.7
  Nov 28, 2018 124   Central Michigan L 65-81 44%     1 - 5 -15.5 -14.8 +0.4
  Dec 01, 2018 229   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 52-79 51%     1 - 6 -28.2 -16.6 -13.4
  Dec 08, 2018 163   @ Colorado St. L 65-71 37%     1 - 7 -3.5 -8.0 +4.4
  Dec 18, 2018 334   Alabama St. W 78-57 90%     2 - 7 +5.7 -2.8 +8.2
  Dec 22, 2018 101   @ Utah Valley L 79-85 21%     2 - 8 +1.6 +9.0 -7.4
  Jan 05, 2019 157   Abilene Christian W 71-68 56%     3 - 8 1 - 0 +0.6 +1.9 -1.1
  Jan 09, 2019 303   @ Central Arkansas W 78-69 68%     4 - 8 2 - 0 +3.2 -1.2 +4.1
  Jan 12, 2019 344   Incarnate Word W 66-52 93%     5 - 8 3 - 0 -3.9 -16.1 +12.9
  Jan 16, 2019 288   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 72-50 80%     6 - 8 4 - 0 +12.1 -1.2 +13.8
  Jan 19, 2019 284   @ Houston Baptist W 71-65 62%     7 - 8 5 - 0 +1.9 -11.2 +12.7
  Jan 23, 2019 337   @ Northwestern St. W 78-64 83%     8 - 8 6 - 0 +3.0 +9.3 -5.1
  Jan 26, 2019 224   Lamar W 69-59 70%     9 - 8 7 - 0 +3.7 -0.9 +5.6
  Jan 30, 2019 237   @ SE Louisiana W 62-52 53%     10 - 8 8 - 0 +8.4 -6.2 +15.3
  Feb 02, 2019 302   Stephen F. Austin W 94-72 84%     11 - 8 9 - 0 +10.7 +13.6 -3.7
  Feb 06, 2019 331   McNeese St. W 77-62 89%     12 - 8 10 - 0 +0.4 -2.0 +2.9
  Feb 09, 2019 157   @ Abilene Christian W 90-85 2OT 35%     13 - 8 11 - 0 +8.1 +7.4 +0.0
  Feb 13, 2019 288   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-69 63%     14 - 8 12 - 0 -3.4 +12.6 -15.7
  Feb 16, 2019 224   @ Lamar L 72-75 50%     14 - 9 12 - 1 -3.8 -4.9 +1.2
  Feb 20, 2019 306   Nicholls St. W 84-74 OT 84%     15 - 9 13 - 1 -1.8 -3.1 +0.4
  Feb 23, 2019 284   Houston Baptist W 119-113 2OT 80%     16 - 9 14 - 1 -3.7 +5.4 -10.7
  Feb 27, 2019 253   @ New Orleans W 71-60 57%     17 - 9 15 - 1 +8.3 +1.7 +7.1
  Mar 06, 2019 303   Central Arkansas L 87-91 84%     17 - 10 15 - 2 -15.3 +11.8 -27.3
  Mar 09, 2019 302   @ Stephen F. Austin W 68-57 68%     18 - 10 16 - 2 +5.2 +8.0 -0.5
  Mar 15, 2019 253   New Orleans L 76-79 67%     18 - 11 -8.4 +13.4 -22.2
Projected Record 18.0 - 11.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%